Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 10.372391 11.846022 13.462268 15.367753 17.554576 19.987860 22.903691
2025-12-21 8.239599 10.134561 12.376422 15.229139 18.769996 23.030243 28.559918
2025-12-28 7.283922 9.443794 12.140628 15.765061 20.524688 26.584024 34.918960
2026-01-04 6.546247 8.862402 11.885436 16.135757 21.984109 29.787279 41.054012
2026-01-11 6.031294 8.478236 11.797706 16.652579 23.611972 33.288897 47.871926
2026-01-18 5.332330 7.746657 11.134648 16.264618 23.888661 34.883748 52.094149
2026-01-25 4.788803 7.168873 10.613490 15.997277 24.267676 36.601518 56.594530
2026-02-01 4.333526 6.669100 10.146938 15.744428 24.610808 38.251567 61.095056
2026-02-08 3.940614 6.222308 9.711169 15.482196 24.889284 39.790246 65.519342
2026-02-15 3.599419 5.822168 9.306493 15.220298 25.124044 41.249691 69.911374
2026-02-22 3.487113 5.776219 9.453798 15.856662 26.870465 45.300810 79.016974
2026-03-01 3.307773 5.602169 9.373860 16.099158 27.961963 48.329989 86.616818
2026-03-08 3.090321 5.348695 9.145497 16.075768 28.605430 50.669254 93.269005
2026-03-15 2.873213 5.077198 8.863074 15.930128 29.013433 52.619436 99.388431
2026-03-22 2.790195 5.034073 8.972456 16.491704 30.748008 57.108780 110.714965
2026-03-29 2.686705 4.944385 8.989333 16.880151 32.186327 61.161536 121.578970
2026-04-05 2.612246 4.901226 9.085449 17.421749 33.957702 65.991357 134.451716
2026-04-12 2.417098 4.615051 8.706539 17.015187 33.834117 67.106122 139.825708
2026-04-19 2.255170 4.379877 8.405740 16.735038 33.933826 68.663219 146.257430
2026-04-26 2.108776 4.163724 8.124886 16.470082 34.037483 70.227530 152.839720
2026-05-03 1.973272 3.958937 7.850792 16.195303 34.093692 71.689637 159.325202
2026-05-10 1.848621 3.766792 7.587597 15.920881 34.124331 73.092586 165.800804
2026-05-17 1.829511 3.789980 7.762947 16.587689 36.244733 79.187779 183.615830